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The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck (Pelican Books) - Hardcover
Inhaltsangabe
‘Probably the UK’s greatest living statistician’ Telegraph
From the UK’s ‘statistical national treasure’, a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertainty
We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don’t know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?
David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.
In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.
Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know
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Über die Autorin bzw. den Autor
Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter FRS OBE is Emeritus Professor of Statistics at the University of Cambridge. His bestselling book The Art of Statistics has been published in eleven languages. He was knighted in 2014 for services to medical statistics, was President of the Royal Statistical Society (2017 – 2018) and became a Non-Executive Director of the UK Statistics Authority in 2020.
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The Art of Uncertainty. How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck
Verlag:
London, Penguin (Pelican Books), 2024
ISBN 10: 0241658624
ISBN 13: 9780241658628
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The Art of Uncertainty
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Zustand: New. From the UK s statistical national treasure , a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertaintyWe live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don t know? And what role do chan. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 1316230604
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ART OF UNCERTAINTY
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The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck
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Hardcover. Zustand: Very Good. With dust jacket. It's a well-cared-for item that has seen limited use. The item may show minor signs of wear. All the text is legible, with all pages included. It may have slight markings and/or highlighting. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 0241658624-8-1-29
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The Art of Uncertainty
Verlag:
Penguin Books Ltd (UK) Sep 2024, 2024
ISBN 10: 0241658624
ISBN 13: 9780241658628
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Buch. Zustand: Neu. Neuware -'Probably the UK's greatest living statistician' TelegraphFrom the UK's 'statistical national treasure', a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertaintyWe live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don't know And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know 487 pp. Englisch. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 9780241658628
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The Art of Uncertainty
Verlag:
Penguin Books Ltd (UK) Sep 2024, 2024
ISBN 10: 0241658624
ISBN 13: 9780241658628
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Buch. Zustand: Neu. Neuware -'Probably the UK's greatest living statistician' TelegraphFrom the UK's 'statistical national treasure', a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertaintyWe live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don't know And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know 487 pp. Englisch. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 9780241658628
Anzahl: 1 verfügbar
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The Art of Uncertainty
Verlag:
Penguin Books Ltd (UK) Sep 2024, 2024
ISBN 10: 0241658624
ISBN 13: 9780241658628
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Buch. Zustand: Neu. Neuware -From the UK's 'statistical national treasure', a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertaintyLife is uncertain. We are all the result of an unforeseen and unforeseeable sequence of small occurrences. But what underlies this fragile chain of events Is it random or just complex And what role does luck play in our lives David Spiegelhalter has spent his career crunching data in order to help understand uncertainty and assess the chances of what might happen. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better. Uncertainty, he argues, is a relationship between the observer and an object in the outside world. He shows us how we can express it numerically, and then update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. In crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, a field that informs everything from annuities to pandemics and climate change, while also examining the limitations of statistical modelling and arguing we need to have the humility to admit our ignorance. Drawing on a wide range of real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty in a world that makes it inevitable.Libri GmbH, Europaallee 1, 36244 Bad Hersfeld 487 pp. Englisch. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 9780241658628
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The Art of Uncertainty : How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck
Verlag:
Penguin Books Ltd (UK) Sep 2024, 2024
ISBN 10: 0241658624
ISBN 13: 9780241658628
Neu
Hardcover
Anbieter: AHA-BUCH GmbH, Einbeck, Deutschland
Verkäuferbewertung 5 von 5 Sternen
Buch. Zustand: Neu. Neuware - 'Probably the UK's greatest living statistician' TelegraphFrom the UK's 'statistical national treasure', a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertaintyWe live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don't know And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 9780241658628
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