Science reassures, art disturbs (Proverb)
This intriguing exploration of underlying forces in decision making takes as its starting point a wealth of high profile decision disasters. In brilliantly readable analyses, Helga Drummond shows how better awareness of the inherent uncertainties of the decision making process could have made the outcomes very different.
Examples showcased include:
The Hatfield rail crash
The Kursk submarine disaster
The Challenger disaster
The year 2000 fuel crisis
The WWII Dardanelles expedition
The Barings Bank collapse
The Taurus Stock Exchange Project The Hillsborough tragedy
The King's Cross underground fire
The Millennium Dome
This entertaining yet instructive book offers new insight into the realities of decision making, and shows how you can confront them to improve your prospects of success.
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HELGA DRUMMOND is Professor of Decision Sciences at the University of Liverpool, UK.
She has consulted for a multitude of businesses ranging from undertakers to IT managers - a dversity reflected in The Art of Decision Making - and is the author of seven previous books that have been translated worldwide.
Science reassures, art disturbs (Proverb)
This intriguing exploration of underlying forces in decision making takes as its starting point a wealth of high profile decision disasters. In brilliantly readable analyses, Helga Drummond shows how better awareness of the inherent uncertainties of the decision making process could have made the outcomes very different.
Examples showcased include:
The Hatfield rail crash
The Kursk submarine disaster
The Challenger disaster
The year 2000 fuel crisis
The WWII Dardanelles expedition
The Barings Bank collapse
The Taurus Stock Exchange Project The Hillsborough tragedy
The King's Cross underground fire
The Millennium Dome
This entertaining yet instructive book offers new insight into the realities of decision making, and shows how you can confront them to improve your prospects of success.
Are we merely at the mercy of chance?
We all make hundreds of decisions every day, and mostly with little thought. Unconscious processes are clearly at work. But what part do these unconscious processes play when we come to make the really important decisions?
Decision science assumes that we live in a world where problems arrive one at a time, neatly labelled 'for attention'. In contrast, a key theme of this book is that real situations seldom make sense, and decisions aree rarely clear. Ambiguity always lurks.
The Art of Decision Making stresses reflection and imagination. Its eclectic case studies compel you to keep reading to the end. And by incorporating its insights, you will engage the subtly shifting tides of fortune and ultimately become more powerful.
Read on: anything might yet happen.
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