This volume is a revision of Arkes and Hammond's 1986 collection of papers on judgment and decision making.
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"The three papers in this section are excellent...In this highly readable paper, Dawes draws on examples from a number of disparate fields to discuss the well known, though surprising, finding that simple weighted means of predictor variables produce more accurate forecasts than experts who are basing their judgment on the same variables." Internationsl Journal of Forcasting
Judgment And Decision Making 2Ed Hb editado por Cambridge
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