Uncertainty and Quality in Science for Policy (Theory and Decision Library A:, 15, Band 15) - Hardcover

Funtowicz, S.O.; Ravetz, J.R.

 
9780792307990: Uncertainty and Quality in Science for Policy (Theory and Decision Library A:, 15, Band 15)
Hardcover
ISBN 10: 0792307992 ISBN 13: 9780792307990
Verlag: Springer, 1990

Inhaltsangabe

60 -I 137.0~29 ERROR BARS • tONE (1" \ \ \ 4\0 \ \ E \ a. a. \ Z30 \ 137.0388 \ 0 137.0377 \ ~ \ ~20 \ \ 0 to 0 '50 Fig.1. Successive recommended values of the fine-structure constand IX-I (B. N. Taylor et 01., 1969,7) reminder that the value is not fully accepted by colleagues, since they will expect it to jump about for a while longer. Our next example is taken from a recent study in the social sciences. It shows how a set of related estimates of uncertainty can be expressed clearly and effectively by NUSAP. Suppose that we wish to forecast what the future price of a basic commodity might be, especially when at the moment its price is artificially maintained by a cartel of producers. There is no experimental evidence on such a future contingency, and yet we are not completely in the dark. There is a long history of expertise in the field; and there is a well-tried standard model by which experts' guesses can be translated into mathematical form.

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Über die Autorin bzw. den Autor

S.O. Funtowicz is a Visiting Scientist at the European Community Joint Research Centre at Ispra (Varese), Italy. He has taught mathematics, logic and research methodology in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

J.R. Ravetz is the Chairman of the Council for Science and Society in London. He was formerly Reader in the History and Philosophy of Science at the University of Leeds. His previous writings include Scientific Knowledge and its Social Problems (Oxford, 1971) and The Merger of Knowledge with Power (Cassel, 1990).

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Verlag
Springer
Erscheinungsdatum
1990
Sprache
Englisch
ISBN 10 
0792307992
ISBN 13 
9780792307990
Einband
Gebundene Ausgabe
Anzahl der Seiten
242
Kontakt zum Hersteller
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