Verwandte Artikel zu Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries: Insights...
Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries: Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective: 9 (European Studies of Population) - Hardcover
Inhaltsangabe
Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe.
In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality.
Die Inhaltsangabe kann sich auf eine andere Ausgabe dieses Titels beziehen.
Reseña del editor
Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe.
In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality.
„Über diesen Titel“ kann sich auf eine andere Ausgabe dieses Titels beziehen.
Neu kaufen
Diesen Artikel anzeigen
EUR 136,16
Gratis für den Versand innerhalb von/der Deutschland
Versandziele, Kosten & DauerWeitere beliebte Ausgaben desselben Titels
Suchergebnisse für Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries: Insights...
Beispielbild für diese ISBN
Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries: Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective
Anbieter: ThriftBooks-Atlanta, AUSTELL, GA, USA
Verkäuferbewertung 5 von 5 Sternen
Hardcover. Zustand: Good. No Jacket. Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less 1.6. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers G0792368339I3N00
Anzahl: 1 verfügbar
Foto des Verkäufers
Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries
Print-on-DemandAnbieter: moluna, Greven, Deutschland
Verkäuferbewertung 4 von 5 Sternen
Gebunden. Zustand: New. Dieser Artikel ist ein Print on Demand Artikel und wird nach Ihrer Bestellung fuer Sie gedruckt. Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of fore. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 5969717
Anzahl: Mehr als 20 verfügbar
Foto des Verkäufers
Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries
Verlag:
Springer Netherlands, Springer Netherlands Feb 2001, 2001
ISBN 10: 0792368339
ISBN 13: 9780792368335
Neu
Hardcover
Anbieter: buchversandmimpf2000, Emtmannsberg, BAYE, Deutschland
Verkäuferbewertung 5 von 5 Sternen
Buch. Zustand: Neu. Neuware -Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe.In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality.Springer Verlag GmbH, Tiergartenstr. 17, 69121 Heidelberg 338 pp. Englisch. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 9780792368335
Anzahl: 2 verfügbar
Foto des Verkäufers
Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries
Verlag:
Springer Netherlands Feb 2001, 2001
ISBN 10: 0792368339
ISBN 13: 9780792368335
Neu
Hardcover
Anbieter: BuchWeltWeit Ludwig Meier e.K., Bergisch Gladbach, Deutschland
Verkäuferbewertung 5 von 5 Sternen
Buch. Zustand: Neu. This item is printed on demand - it takes 3-4 days longer - Neuware -Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe. In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality. 338 pp. Englisch. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 9780792368335
Anzahl: 2 verfügbar
Beispielbild für diese ISBN
Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries: Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective (European Studies of Population, 9)
Anbieter: Ria Christie Collections, Uxbridge, Vereinigtes Königreich
Verkäuferbewertung 5 von 5 Sternen
Zustand: New. In. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers ria9780792368335_new
Anzahl: Mehr als 20 verfügbar
Foto des Verkäufers
Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries : Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective
Verlag:
Springer Netherlands, Springer Netherlands, 2001
ISBN 10: 0792368339
ISBN 13: 9780792368335
Neu
Hardcover
Anbieter: AHA-BUCH GmbH, Einbeck, Deutschland
Verkäuferbewertung 5 von 5 Sternen
Buch. Zustand: Neu. Druck auf Anfrage Neuware - Printed after ordering - Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe. In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 9780792368335
Anzahl: 1 verfügbar
Foto des Verkäufers
Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries : Insights from a Statistical, Demographic, and Epidemological Perspective
Anbieter: GreatBookPrices, Columbia, MD, USA
Verkäuferbewertung 5 von 5 Sternen
Zustand: New. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 756812-n
Anzahl: 15 verfügbar
Beispielbild für diese ISBN
Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries
Anbieter: Books Puddle, New York, NY, USA
Verkäuferbewertung 4 von 5 Sternen
Zustand: New. pp. 340. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 26318810
Anzahl: 4 verfügbar
Beispielbild für diese ISBN
Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries
Print-on-DemandAnbieter: Biblios, Frankfurt am main, HESSE, Deutschland
Verkäuferbewertung 5 von 5 Sternen
Zustand: New. PRINT ON DEMAND pp. 340. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 18318800
Anzahl: 4 verfügbar
Beispielbild für diese ISBN
Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries: Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective (European Studies of Population, 9)
Anbieter: Lucky's Textbooks, Dallas, TX, USA
Verkäuferbewertung 5 von 5 Sternen
Zustand: New. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers ABLIING23Feb2416190184033
Anzahl: Mehr als 20 verfügbar