The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable - Hardcover

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas

Hardcover

ISBN 10: 1846145651 ISBN 13: 9781846145650

Verlag: Allen Lane, 2011

Über diesen Titel

Críticas:

Great fun ... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling (Stephen J. Dubner, author of Freakonomics)

An idiosyncratically brilliant new book (Niall Ferguson Sunday Telegraph)

A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected (Larry Elliot Guardian)

Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling (John Kay Financial Times)

Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot (John Cornwell Sunday Times)

In the tradition of The Wisdom of Crowds and The Tipping Point (Time)

Reseña del editor:

A slipcased hardback edition of Nassim Nicholas Taleb's bestselling masterpiece, with the original first Penguin edition artwork.

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

Über diese Auflage

• Verlag: Allen Lane
• Erscheinungsdatum: 2011
• ISBN 10: 1846145651
• ISBN 13: 9781846145650
• Einband: Tapa dura
• Anzahl der Seiten: 480