Predictioneer - Softcover

Mesquita, Bruce

Softcover

ISBN 10: 1847920675 ISBN 13: 9781847920676

Verlag: The Bodley Head Ltd, 2009

Über diesen Titel

Reseña del editor:

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita can predict the future. He is a master of game theory, a rather fancy name for a simple idea- when people compete with each other they always do what they think is in their own best interest. Bueno de Mesquita uses game theory to foretell - and even engineer - political, financial and personal events. In fact, Bueno de Mesquita's forecasts, for everyone from the CIA to major companies, have an astonishing ninety per cent success rate. In this startling and revelatory book he describes his methods and allows us to play along. Bueno de Mesquita explores the origins of game theory as formulated by John Nash, the Nobel Prize-winner who became the subject of the film A Beautiful Mind. He has developed Nash's ideas to create a rigorous and pragmatic system of calculation that enables us to think strategically about what our opponents want, how much they want it, and how they might react to our every move. Bueno de Mesquita applies his methods to many of the most pressing issues of our day. He advises how best to contain the nuclear ambitions of Iran and North Korea. He shows how the Israeli-Palestinian conflict might be resolved. He explains how corporate fraud

Biografía del autor:

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is Julius Silver Professor of Politics at New York University and a Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University. A specialist in policy forecasting, political economy and international security policy, he received his doctorate in political science from the University of Michigan. Bueno de Mesquita is the author of fourteen books and numerous articles for journals, newspapers and magazines. He is a partner in a consulting firm focused on government and business applications of his game theory models. He lives in San Francisco and New York City.

Über diese Auflage

• Verlag: The Bodley Head Ltd
• Erscheinungsdatum: 2009
• ISBN 10: 1847920675
• ISBN 13: 9781847920676
• Einband: Tapa blanda
• Anzahl der Seiten: 272