By Spring 1998 agreement must be reached on the first group of countries to participate in EMU, which is scheduled to begin on 1 January 1999. Written by a team of distinguished European academics, CEPR's 7th Monitoring European Integration Report argues that the final stage of transition to EMU remains poorly understood, that many extant proposals (whether from academics or policy-makers) have fatal flaws, and that finding a safer transition strategy is a matter of urgent priority.
Amazingly, decisions already made at Maastricht and Madrid already preclude any certainty about conversion rates between the Euro and national currencies until EMU actually begins. Nevertheless, it would be possible to preannounce bilateral conversion rates between the 'Ins'. The authors recommended doing so immediately and on the basis of existing central parities in the ERM. They argue it would then be possible credibly to adopt very wide bands during the transition. In comparison with other proposals - such as reversion to narrow bands, or floating without prior commitment to the end point - the strategy advocated is not only more robust to speculative attack, but also more likely to deliver appropriate initial competitiveness levels in EMU. This proposal also offers a natural solution to the problem of the 'pre-Ins': their eventual entry should be at conversion rates based on central parities ruling two years prior to their entry.
This report will be influential during policy discussions in preparation for EMU and will have a much longer-term impact on analysis of monetary policy within an increasingly integrated Europe.
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By spring 1998, an agreement must be reached on the first group of European countries to participate in the economic and monetary union (EMU). If all goes according to plan, EMU itself will begin on January 1, 1999. Written by a team of distinguished European academics, this report looks at this final stage of the transition to monetary union. The authors consider whether the current ERM rule should continue to operate between the announcement and the start of EMU. They also assess when the new exchange rate system (EMS-2) designed to link " ins" and " pre-ins" should start operating. Their analysis and conclusions will continue to influence the conduct of monetary policy long after the 1998 decision.
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Zustand: OTTIMO USATO. INGLESE Monitoring European Integration 7. Autori: David Begg, Francesco Giavazzi, Jurgen von Hagen, Charles Wyplosz. Prefazione di Richard Portes, 18 febbraio 1997. Brossura in cartoncino flessibile conservata in ottimo stato. Cerniera salda, pagine come nuove. Numero pagine 75. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers KEU0052
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