An Econometric Model of the US Economy: Structural Analysis in 56 Equations - Softcover

Heim, John J.

 
9783319844602: An Econometric Model of the US Economy: Structural Analysis in 56 Equations
Softcover
ISBN 10: 3319844601 ISBN 13: 9783319844602
Verlag: Palgrave Macmillan, 2018

Inhaltsangabe

This book explores the US economy from 1960 to 2010 using a more Keynsian, Cowles model approach, which the author argues has substantial advantages over the vector autoregression (VAR) and dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models used almost exclusively today. Heim presents a robust argument in favor of the Cowles model as an answer to the pressing, unresolved methodological question of how to accurately model the macroeconomy so that policymakers can reliably use these models to assist their decision making. Thirty-eight behavioral equations, describing determinants of variables such as consumption, taxes, and government spending, are connected by eighteen identities to construct a comprehensive model of the real US economy that Heim then tests across four different time periods to ensure that results are consistent. This comprehensive demonstration of the value of a long-ignored model provides overwhelming evidence that the more Keynesian (Cowles) structural models outperform VAR and DSGE, and therefore should be the models of choice in future macroeconomic studies.  

  

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Über die Autorin bzw. den Autor

John J. Heim is Visiting Professor at University of Albany-SUNY, and retired Clinical Professor of Economics at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, both in New York, USA.

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This book explores the US economy from 1960 to 2010 using a more Keynsian, Cowles model approach, which the author argues has substantial advantages over the vector autoregression (VAR) and dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models used almost exclusively today. Heim presents a robust argument in favor of the Cowles model as an answer to the pressing, unresolved methodological question of how to accurately model the macroeconomy so that policymakers can reliably use these models to assist their decision making. Thirty-eight behavioral equations, describing determinants of variables such as consumption, taxes, and government spending, are connected by eighteen identities to construct a comprehensive model of the real US economy that Heim then tests across four different time periods to ensure that results are consistent. This comprehensive demonstration of the value of a long-ignored model provides overwhelming evidence that the more Keynesian (Cowles) structural models outperform VAR and DSGE, and therefore should be the models of choice in future macroeconomic studies.  



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Verlag
Palgrave Macmillan
Erscheinungsdatum
2018
Sprache
Englisch
ISBN 10 
3319844601
ISBN 13 
9783319844602
Einband
Taschenbuch
Anzahl der Seiten
492
Kontakt zum Hersteller
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Weitere beliebte Ausgaben desselben Titels

9783319506807: An Econometric Model of the US Economy: Structural Analysis in 56 Equations

Vorgestellte Ausgabe

ISBN 10:  3319506803 ISBN 13:  9783319506807
Verlag: Palgrave Macmillan, 2017
Hardcover