Coping with Uncertainty: Modeling and Policy Issues (Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, 581, Band 581) - Softcover

 
9783540352587: Coping with Uncertainty: Modeling and Policy Issues (Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, 581, Band 581)
Softcover
ISBN 10: 3540352589 ISBN 13: 9783540352587
Verlag: Springer, 2009

Inhaltsangabe

Ongoing global changes bring fundamentally new scientific problems requiring new concepts and tools. A key issue concerns a vast variety of practically irreducible uncertainties, which challenge our traditional models and require new concepts and analytical tools. The uncertainty critically dominantes, e.g., the climate change debates. In short, the dilemma is concerned with enormous costs vs. massive uncertainties of potential extreme impacts. Traditional scientific approaches usually rely on real observations and experiments. Yet no sufficient observations exist for new problems, and "pure" experiments and learning by doing may be very expensive, dangerous, or simply impossible. In addition, available historical observations are contaminated by actions, policies. The complexity of new problems does not allow to achieve enough certainty by increasing the resolution of models or by bringing in more links. Hence, new tools for modeling and management of uncertainty are needed, as given in this book.

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Verlag
Springer
Erscheinungsdatum
2009
Sprache
Englisch
ISBN 10 
3540352589
ISBN 13 
9783540352587
Einband
Taschenbuch
Anzahl der Seiten
346
Herausgeber
Marti Kurt
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