Stationarity has always played an important part in forecasting theory. However, some economic time series show time-varying autocovariances. The question arises whether forecasts can be improved using models that capture such a time-varying second-order structure. One possibility is given by autoregressive models with time-varying parameters. The author focuses on the development of a forecasting procedure for these processes and compares this approach to classical forecasting methods by means of Monte Carlo simulations. An evaluation of the proposed procedure is given by its application to futures prices and the Dow Jones index. The approach turns out to be superior to the classical methods if the sample sizes are large and the forecasting horizons do not range too far into the future.
Die Inhaltsangabe kann sich auf eine andere Ausgabe dieses Titels beziehen.
Tina Loll holds a Diploma in Civil Engineering from the University of Duisburg-Essen and a Diploma in Business Administration and Engineering from the University of Bochum. From 2007 to 2011 she worked as a research assistant at the Institute of Statistics and Econometrics of the University of Hamburg and received a Doctor of Economics.
„Über diesen Titel“ kann sich auf eine andere Ausgabe dieses Titels beziehen.
EUR 3,99 für den Versand innerhalb von/der Deutschland
Versandziele, Kosten & DauerGratis für den Versand innerhalb von/der Deutschland
Versandziele, Kosten & DauerAnbieter: Fundus-Online GbR Borkert Schwarz Zerfaß, Berlin, Deutschland
Originalhardcover. Zustand: Sehr gut. 138 S. : graph. Darst. Ein tadelloses Exemplar. - Stationarity has always played an important part in forecasting theory. However, some economic time series show time-varying autocovariances. The question arises whether forecasts can be improved using models that capture such a time-varying second-order structure. One possibility is given by autoregressive models with time-varying parameters. The author focuses on the development of a forecasting procedure for these processes and compares this approach to classical forecasting methods by means of Monte Carlo simulations. An evaluation of the proposed procedure is given by its application to futures prices and the Dow Jones index. The approach turns out to be superior to the classical methods if the sample sizes are large and the forecasting horizons do not range too far into the future. ISBN 9783631621875 Sprache: Englisch Gewicht in Gramm: 288. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 1083716
Anzahl: 1 verfügbar
Anbieter: AHA-BUCH GmbH, Einbeck, Deutschland
Buch. Zustand: Neu. Druck auf Anfrage Neuware - Printed after ordering - Stationarity has always played an important part in forecasting theory. However, some economic time series show time-varying autocovariances. The question arises whether forecasts can be improved using models that capture such a time-varying second-order structure. One possibility is given by autoregressive models with time-varying parameters. The author focuses on the development of a forecasting procedure for these processes and compares this approach to classical forecasting methods by means of Monte Carlo simulations. An evaluation of the proposed procedure is given by its application to futures prices and the Dow Jones index. The approach turns out to be superior to the classical methods if the sample sizes are large and the forecasting horizons do not range too far into the future. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 9783631621875
Anzahl: 1 verfügbar
Anbieter: moluna, Greven, Deutschland
Gebunden. Zustand: New. Dieser Artikel ist ein Print on Demand Artikel und wird nach Ihrer Bestellung fuer Sie gedruckt. Forecasting Economic Time Series using Locally Stationary ProcessesStationarity has always played an important part in forecasting theory. However, some economic time series show time-varying autocovariances. The question arises whether forecasts can be. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 117177300
Anzahl: Mehr als 20 verfügbar
Anbieter: preigu, Osnabrück, Deutschland
Buch. Zustand: Neu. Forecasting Economic Time Series using Locally Stationary Processes | A New Approach with Applications | Tina Loll | Buch | Englisch | 2012 | Peter Lang | EAN 9783631621875 | Verantwortliche Person für die EU: Lang, Peter GmbH, Gontardstr. 11, 10178 Berlin, r[dot]boehm-korff[at]peterlang[dot]com | Anbieter: preigu Print on Demand. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 106625593
Anzahl: 5 verfügbar
Anbieter: buchversandmimpf2000, Emtmannsberg, BAYE, Deutschland
Buch. Zustand: Neu. Neuware -Stationarity has always played an important part in forecasting theory. However, some economic time series show time-varying autocovariances. The question arises whether forecasts can be improved using models that capture such a time-varying second-order structure. One possibility is given by autoregressive models with time-varying parameters. The author focuses on the development of a forecasting procedure for these processes and compares this approach to classical forecasting methods by means of Monte Carlo simulations. An evaluation of the proposed procedure is given by its application to futures prices and the Dow Jones index. The approach turns out to be superior to the classical methods if the sample sizes are large and the forecasting horizons do not range too far into the future. 140 pp. Englisch. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 9783631621875
Anzahl: 2 verfügbar
Anbieter: BuchWeltWeit Ludwig Meier e.K., Bergisch Gladbach, Deutschland
Buch. Zustand: Neu. This item is printed on demand - it takes 3-4 days longer - Neuware -Stationarity has always played an important part in forecasting theory. However, some economic time series show time-varying autocovariances. The question arises whether forecasts can be improved using models that capture such a time-varying second-order structure. One possibility is given by autoregressive models with time-varying parameters. The author focuses on the development of a forecasting procedure for these processes and compares this approach to classical forecasting methods by means of Monte Carlo simulations. An evaluation of the proposed procedure is given by its application to futures prices and the Dow Jones index. The approach turns out to be superior to the classical methods if the sample sizes are large and the forecasting horizons do not range too far into the future. 140 pp. Englisch. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 9783631621875
Anzahl: 2 verfügbar
Anbieter: Mispah books, Redhill, SURRE, Vereinigtes Königreich
Hardcover. Zustand: Very Good. Very Good. book. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers ERICA82936316218766
Anzahl: 1 verfügbar