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Inflation Forecasting, Central Bank Independence and Price Stability: An analysis of Zimbabwe - Softcover
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The accuracy of inflation forecasting has been a challenge in most developing countries which do not have high frequency data.This study evaluates the performance of leading bivariate and trivariate models of inflation in forecasting inflation for Zimbabwe. Root Mean Square Forecast Errors (RMSFE) of the benchmark autoregressive model are compared with those of bivariate and trivariate vector autoregressions. The pseudo-out-of-sample forecasting results show that (1) the trivariate model using lags of inflation, crop production index and the parallel market exchange rate forecast inflation better (2) the term structure of interest rates also performs well and (3) monetary aggregates fare badly. Further, the study analyses the institutional set-up of the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) to determine its independence. Results show that political interests have been driving the monetary policy and this has undermined the credibility of the central bank. Even if independence is not the complete answer, it is at least suggestive that a more autonomous central bank would be effective even though it is neither necessary nor sufficient by itself for achieving and maintaining low inflation.
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Melania Mujutywa-Shayanewako, Studied Master of Economics in the field of International Economics, Public Policy and Taxation at Yokohama National University, Japan: Chief Economist, Ministry of Economic Planning and Investment Promotion, Zimbabwe
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Inflation Forecasting, Central Bank Independence and Price Stability
Verlag:
LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing Okt 2011, 2011
ISBN 10: 3846525472
ISBN 13: 9783846525470
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Anbieter: BuchWeltWeit Ludwig Meier e.K., Bergisch Gladbach, Deutschland
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Taschenbuch. Zustand: Neu. This item is printed on demand - it takes 3-4 days longer - Neuware -The accuracy of inflation forecasting has been a challenge in most developing countries which do not have high frequency data.This study evaluates the performance of leading bivariate and trivariate models of inflation in forecasting inflation for Zimbabwe. Root Mean Square Forecast Errors (RMSFE) of the benchmark autoregressive model are compared with those of bivariate and trivariate vector autoregressions. The pseudo-out-of-sample forecasting results show that (1) the trivariate model using lags of inflation, crop production index and the parallel market exchange rate forecast inflation better (2) the term structure of interest rates also performs well and (3) monetary aggregates fare badly. Further, the study analyses the institutional set-up of the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) to determine its independence. Results show that political interests have been driving the monetary policy and this has undermined the credibility of the central bank. Even if independence is not the complete answer, it is at least suggestive that a more autonomous central bank would be effective even though it is neither necessary nor sufficient by itself for achieving and maintaining low inflation. 112 pp. Englisch. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 9783846525470
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Inflation Forecasting, Central Bank Independence and Price Stability
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Zustand: New. pp. 112. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 2698160904
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Inflation Forecasting, Central Bank Independence and Price Stability
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Zustand: New. Print on Demand pp. 112 2:B&W 6 x 9 in or 229 x 152 mm Perfect Bound on Creme w/Gloss Lam. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 95317719
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Inflation Forecasting, Central Bank Independence and Price Stability
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Zustand: New. PRINT ON DEMAND pp. 112. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 1898160898
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Inflation Forecasting, Central Bank Independence and Price Stability
Verlag:
LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing, 2011
ISBN 10: 3846525472
ISBN 13: 9783846525470
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Softcover
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Zustand: New. Dieser Artikel ist ein Print on Demand Artikel und wird nach Ihrer Bestellung fuer Sie gedruckt. Autor/Autorin: Mujutywa-Shayanewako MelaniaMelania Mujutywa-Shayanewako, Studied Master of Economics in the field of International Economics, Public Policy and Taxation at Yokohama National University, Japan: Chief Economist, Ministry of Economic P. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 5496667
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Inflation Forecasting, Central Bank Independence and Price Stability
Verlag:
LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing Okt 2011, 2011
ISBN 10: 3846525472
ISBN 13: 9783846525470
Neu
Taschenbuch
Anbieter: buchversandmimpf2000, Emtmannsberg, BAYE, Deutschland
Verkäuferbewertung 5 von 5 Sternen
Taschenbuch. Zustand: Neu. This item is printed on demand - Print on Demand Titel. Neuware -The accuracy of inflation forecasting has been a challenge in most developing countries which do not have high frequency data.This study evaluates the performance of leading bivariate and trivariate models of inflation in forecasting inflation for Zimbabwe. Root Mean Square Forecast Errors (RMSFE) of the benchmark autoregressive model are compared with those of bivariate and trivariate vector autoregressions. The pseudo-out-of-sample forecasting results show that (1) the trivariate model using lags of inflation, crop production index and the parallel market exchange rate forecast inflation better (2) the term structure of interest rates also performs well and (3) monetary aggregates fare badly. Further, the study analyses the institutional set-up of the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) to determine its independence. Results show that political interests have been driving the monetary policy and this has undermined the credibility of the central bank. Even if independence is not the complete answer, it is at least suggestive that a more autonomous central bank would be effective even though it is neither necessary nor sufficient by itself for achieving and maintaining low inflation.VDM Verlag, Dudweiler Landstraße 99, 66123 Saarbrücken 112 pp. Englisch. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 9783846525470
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Inflation Forecasting, Central Bank Independence and Price Stability : An analysis of Zimbabwe
Verlag:
LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing, 2011
ISBN 10: 3846525472
ISBN 13: 9783846525470
Neu
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Taschenbuch. Zustand: Neu. nach der Bestellung gedruckt Neuware - Printed after ordering - The accuracy of inflation forecasting has been a challenge in most developing countries which do not have high frequency data.This study evaluates the performance of leading bivariate and trivariate models of inflation in forecasting inflation for Zimbabwe. Root Mean Square Forecast Errors (RMSFE) of the benchmark autoregressive model are compared with those of bivariate and trivariate vector autoregressions. The pseudo-out-of-sample forecasting results show that (1) the trivariate model using lags of inflation, crop production index and the parallel market exchange rate forecast inflation better (2) the term structure of interest rates also performs well and (3) monetary aggregates fare badly. Further, the study analyses the institutional set-up of the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) to determine its independence. Results show that political interests have been driving the monetary policy and this has undermined the credibility of the central bank. Even if independence is not the complete answer, it is at least suggestive that a more autonomous central bank would be effective even though it is neither necessary nor sufficient by itself for achieving and maintaining low inflation. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 9783846525470
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Inflation Forecasting, Central Bank Independence and Price Stability | An analysis of Zimbabwe
Verlag:
LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing, 2011
ISBN 10: 3846525472
ISBN 13: 9783846525470
Neu
Taschenbuch
Anbieter: preigu, Osnabrück, Deutschland
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Taschenbuch. Zustand: Neu. Inflation Forecasting, Central Bank Independence and Price Stability | An analysis of Zimbabwe | Melania Mujutywa-Shayanewako | Taschenbuch | 112 S. | Englisch | 2011 | LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing | EAN 9783846525470 | Verantwortliche Person für die EU: BoD - Books on Demand, In de Tarpen 42, 22848 Norderstedt, info[at]bod[dot]de | Anbieter: preigu. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 106768711
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