This book examines the volatility of Kazakh Tenge against five main trading currencies, namely: the US dollar, Euro, Russian Rouble, Ukrainian Hryvnia and Chinese Yuan. 4552 daily exchange rates data, from National Bank of Kazakhstan were used in the analysis. The ARCH family, conditional variance models were chosen as a method for modelling volatility. Six main representative models of this family, namely are: ARCH and GARCH models (for capturing the heteroscedasticity), GJR (TGARCH) and EGARCH models (for capturing the leverage effects), IGARCH and FIGARCH models (to account for long memory shock effects) were further selected. Afterward, the static, one-step-ahead forecast was conducted. The forecast results are then compared using the root mean squared error (RMSE) and the mean absolute error (MAE) performance measurement criteria. According to both RMSE and MAE results, the US dollar, Chinese Yuan, Russian Rouble and Ukrainian Hryvnia are best forecasted by simple ARCH model, and Euro is best forecasted by an asymmetric GJR model. The long memory IGARCH and FIGARCH models did not show the best forecasting performance in none of the five currencies examined.
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Alisher was born in Shymkent, Kazakhstan. He is married and has two daughters. Currently, he is doing his PhD at Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO), Halle, Germany. Before joining the institute, he has worked as a lecturer in the Business School of Suleyman Demirel University in Almaty, Kazakhstan.
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Taschenbuch. Zustand: Neu. This item is printed on demand - it takes 3-4 days longer - Neuware -This book examines the volatility of Kazakh Tenge against five main trading currencies, namely: the US dollar, Euro, Russian Rouble, Ukrainian Hryvnia and Chinese Yuan. 4552 daily exchange rates data, from National Bank of Kazakhstan were used in the analysis. The ARCH family, conditional variance models were chosen as a method for modelling volatility. Six main representative models of this family, namely are: ARCH and GARCH models (for capturing the heteroscedasticity), GJR (TGARCH) and EGARCH models (for capturing the leverage effects), IGARCH and FIGARCH models (to account for long memory shock effects) were further selected. Afterward, the static, one-step-ahead forecast was conducted. The forecast results are then compared using the root mean squared error (RMSE) and the mean absolute error (MAE) performance measurement criteria. According to both RMSE and MAE results, the US dollar, Chinese Yuan, Russian Rouble and Ukrainian Hryvnia are best forecasted by simple ARCH model, and Euro is best forecasted by an asymmetric GJR model. The long memory IGARCH and FIGARCH models did not show the best forecasting performance in none of the five currencies examined. 60 pp. Englisch. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 9786139575220
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Paperback. Zustand: Brand New. 60 pages. 8.66x5.91x0.14 inches. In Stock. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers zk6139575222
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Taschenbuch. Zustand: Neu. nach der Bestellung gedruckt Neuware - Printed after ordering - This book examines the volatility of Kazakh Tenge against five main trading currencies, namely: the US dollar, Euro, Russian Rouble, Ukrainian Hryvnia and Chinese Yuan. 4552 daily exchange rates data, from National Bank of Kazakhstan were used in the analysis. The ARCH family, conditional variance models were chosen as a method for modelling volatility. Six main representative models of this family, namely are: ARCH and GARCH models (for capturing the heteroscedasticity), GJR (TGARCH) and EGARCH models (for capturing the leverage effects), IGARCH and FIGARCH models (to account for long memory shock effects) were further selected. Afterward, the static, one-step-ahead forecast was conducted. The forecast results are then compared using the root mean squared error (RMSE) and the mean absolute error (MAE) performance measurement criteria. According to both RMSE and MAE results, the US dollar, Chinese Yuan, Russian Rouble and Ukrainian Hryvnia are best forecasted by simple ARCH model, and Euro is best forecasted by an asymmetric GJR model. The long memory IGARCH and FIGARCH models did not show the best forecasting performance in none of the five currencies examined. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 9786139575220
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Zustand: New. Dieser Artikel ist ein Print on Demand Artikel und wird nach Ihrer Bestellung fuer Sie gedruckt. Autor/Autorin: Tleubayev AlisherAlisher was born in Shymkent, Kazakhstan. He is married and has two daughters. Currently, he is doing his PhD at Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO), Halle, Germany. Before jo. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 385864393
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Taschenbuch. Zustand: Neu. This item is printed on demand - Print on Demand Titel. Neuware -This book examines the volatility of Kazakh Tenge against five main trading currencies, namely: the US dollar, Euro, Russian Rouble, Ukrainian Hryvnia and Chinese Yuan. 4552 daily exchange rates data, from National Bank of Kazakhstan were used in the analysis. The ARCH family, conditional variance models were chosen as a method for modelling volatility. Six main representative models of this family, namely are: ARCH and GARCH models (for capturing the heteroscedasticity), GJR (TGARCH) and EGARCH models (for capturing the leverage effects), IGARCH and FIGARCH models (to account for long memory shock effects) were further selected. Afterward, the static, one-step-ahead forecast was conducted. The forecast results are then compared using the root mean squared error (RMSE) and the mean absolute error (MAE) performance measurement criteria. According to both RMSE and MAE results, the US dollar, Chinese Yuan, Russian Rouble and Ukrainian Hryvnia are best forecasted by simple ARCH model, and Euro is best forecasted by an asymmetric GJR model. The long memory IGARCH and FIGARCH models did not show the best forecasting performance in none of the five currencies examined.VDM Verlag, Dudweiler Landstraße 99, 66123 Saarbrücken 60 pp. Englisch. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 9786139575220
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Taschenbuch. Zustand: Neu. Modelling the exchange rate volatility of Kazakh Tenge | Alisher Tleubayev | Taschenbuch | 60 S. | Englisch | 2018 | LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing | EAN 9786139575220 | Verantwortliche Person für die EU: preigu GmbH & Co. KG, Lengericher Landstr. 19, 49078 Osnabrück, mail[at]preigu[dot]de | Anbieter: preigu. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 113487703
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