Assumptions or Over-Assumptions : The Story of the 2024 Exit Polls

Uday Basu

ISBN 10: 9361560727 / ISBN 13: 9789361560729

Verlag: Rupa Publications India, 2025

Beschreibung

nach der Bestellung gedruckt Neuware - Printed after ordering - Exit polls are regarded as a boon by some and a bane by others. While democracy, of whichelections are an integral part, has now existed for some time in history, exit polls are a relativelyrecent phenomenon, having emerged only in the last century. Their workings, from the beginninghave prompted questions about their predictability, accountability, and accuracy.In the game of numbers and probabilities, while at times they have hit the bull's eye, they have alsooften derailed the hopes of the masses and the masters. The 2024 General Elections in India becamethe posterchild for the latter instance. The off-track numbers brought to light the past misses, ashowdown at the Indian stock exchange, and dramatic political flare-ups. The predictions in Indiaand some other countries have, over the years, gone wrong far too often to ignore, making thepublic as well as experts suspicious of the electoral exercise.Nevertheless, they have also hit a few sixes that now stand overshadowed. To denounce and castaway exit polls for their poor success rate would be like throwing the baby out with the bathwater.At this juncture where their credibility is in question, Assumptions or Over-Assumptions brings to readers a deep dive into the history, law, sociology, economics and politics of exit polls, with a special focus on India. While they stand in the court of audience today, it is equally imperative for us-the audience in question-to evaluate and consider the benefits of exit polls more than theirsetbacks and losses.

Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 9789361560729

Bibliografische Details

• Titel: Assumptions or Over-Assumptions : The Story of the 2024 Exit Polls
• Verlag: Rupa Publications India
• Erscheinungsjahr: 2025
• Sprache: Englisch
• ISBN-10: 9361560727
• ISBN-13: 9789361560729
• Einband: Taschenbuch
• Zustand: Neu
• Abmessungen: 198B x 129 H x 8 T Millimeter Breite: 198 mm, Höhe: 129 mm, Tiefe: 8 mm
• Gewicht: 164 Gramm

Über diesen Titel

Inhaltsangabe

Exit polls are regarded as a boon by some and a bane by others. While democracy, of which elections are an integral part, has now existed for some time in history, exit polls are a relatively recent phenomenon, having emerged only in the last century. Their workings, from the beginning, have prompted questions about their predictability, accountability, and accuracy.

In the game of numbers and probabilities, while at times they have hit the bull’s eye, they have also often derailed the hopes of the masses and the masters. The 2024 General Elections in India became the posterchild for the latter instance. The off-track numbers brought to light the past misses, a showdown at the Indian stock exchange, and dramatic political flare-ups. The predictions in India and some other countries have, over the years, gone wrong far too often to ignore, making the public as well as experts suspicious of the electoral exercise.

Nevertheless, they have also hit a few sixes that now stand overshadowed. To denounce and cast away exit polls for their poor success rate would be like throwing the baby out with the bathwater.

At this juncture where their credibility is in question, Assumptions or Over-Assumptions brings to readers a deep dive into the history, law, sociology, economics and politics of exit polls, with a special focus on India. While they stand in the court of audience today, it is equally imperative for us—the audience in question—to evaluate and consider the benefits of exit polls more than their setbacks and losses.