Beyond Traditional Probabilistic Methods in Economics

Vladik Kreinovich

ISBN 10: 3030041999 / ISBN 13: 9783030041991

Verlag: Springer International Publishing, Springer International Publishing Nov 2018, 2018

Beschreibung

Neuware -This book presents recent research on probabilistic methods in economics, from machine learning to statistical analysis. Economics is a very important ¿ and at the same a very difficult discipline. It is not easy to predict how an economy will evolve or to identify the measures needed to make an economy prosper. One of the main reasons for this is the high level of uncertainty: different difficult-to-predict events can influence the future economic behavior. To make good predictions and reasonable recommendations, this uncertainty has to be taken into account.In the past, most related research results were based on using traditional techniques from probability and statistics, such as p-value-based hypothesis testing. These techniques led to numerous successful applications, but in the last decades, several examples have emerged showing that these techniques often lead to unreliable and inaccurate predictions. It is therefore necessary to come up with new techniques for processing the corresponding uncertainty that go beyond the traditional probabilistic techniques.This book focuses on such techniques, their economic applications and the remaining challenges, presenting both related theoretical developments and their practical applications.Springer Verlag GmbH, Tiergartenstr. 17, 69121 Heidelberg 1172 pp. Englisch. Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 9783030041991

Bibliografische Details

Titel: Beyond Traditional Probabilistic Methods in ...

Verlag: Springer International Publishing, Springer International Publishing Nov 2018

Erscheinungsdatum: 2018

Einband: Buch

Zustand: Neu

Über diesen Titel

Inhaltsangabe:

This book presents recent research on probabilistic methods in economics, from machine learning to statistical analysis. Economics is a very important – and at the same a very difficult discipline. It is not easy to predict how an economy will evolve or to identify the measures needed to make an economy prosper. One of the main reasons for this is the high level of uncertainty: different difficult-to-predict events can influence the future economic behavior. To make good predictions and reasonable recommendations, this uncertainty has to be taken into account.

In the past, most related research results were based on using traditional techniques from probability and statistics, such as p-value-based hypothesis testing. These techniques led to numerous successful applications, but in the last decades, several examples have emerged showing that these techniques often lead to unreliable and inaccurate predictions. It is therefore necessary to come up with new techniques for processing the corresponding uncertainty that go beyond the traditional probabilistic techniques.

This book focuses on such techniques, their economic applications and the remaining challenges, presenting both related theoretical developments and their practical applications.