How to Predict the Unpredictable : The Art of Outsmarting Almost Everyone

William Poundstone

ISBN 10: 1780747209 / ISBN 13: 9781780747200

Verlag: Oneworld Publications Aug 2016, 2016

Beschreibung

Neuware - We are hard-wired to believe that the world is more predictable than it is. We chase 'winning streaks' that are often just illusions, and we are all too predictable exactly when we try hardest not to be.In the 1970s, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky coined the phrase 'representativeness' to describe the psychology of this behaviour. Since then representativeness has been used by auditors to catch people fiddling their tax returns and by hedge fund managers to reap billions from the emotions of small investors. Now Poundstone for the first time makes these techniques fun, easy, and profitable for everyone, in the everyday situations that matter. You'll learn how to tackle multiple choice tests, what internet passwords to avoid, how to up your odds of winning the office Premier League sweepstakes, and the best ways to invest your money.

Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 9781780747200

Bibliografische Details

• Titel: How to Predict the Unpredictable : The Art of Outsmarting Almost Everyone
• Verlag: Oneworld Publications Aug 2016
• Erscheinungsjahr: 2016
• Sprache: Englisch
• ISBN-10: 1780747209
• ISBN-13: 9781780747200
• Einband: Taschenbuch
• Zustand: Neu
• Abmessungen: 197B x 131 H x 25 T Millimeter Breite: 197 mm, Höhe: 131 mm, Tiefe: 25 mm
• Gewicht: 286 Gramm

Über diesen Titel

Inhaltsangabe

We are hard-wired to believe that the world is more predictable than it is. We chase ‘winning streaks’ that are often just illusions, and we are all too predictable exactly when we try hardest not to be.

In the 1970s, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky coined the phrase ‘representativeness’ to describe the psychology of this behaviour. Since then representativeness has been used by auditors to catch people fiddling their tax returns and by hedge fund managers to reap billions from the emotions of small investors. Now Poundstone for the first time makes these techniques fun, easy, and profitable for everyone, in the everyday situations that matter. You’ll learn how to tackle multiple choice tests, what internet passwords to avoid, how to up your odds of winning the office Premier League sweepstakes, and the best ways to invest your money.

Über die Autorin bzw. den Autor

William Poundstone is the author of seventeen books including How to Predict Everything, How to Predict the Unpredictable and Are You Smart Enough to Work at Google? He has written for the Economist, New York Times, Harper’s and Harvard Business Review, among others. You can find out more about him on his website: william-poundstone.com