In this clearly reasoned defense of Bayes's Theorem — that probability can be used to reasonably justify scientific theories — Colin Howson and Peter Urbach examine the way in which scientists appeal to probability arguments, and demonstrate that the classical approach to statistical inference is full of flaws. Arguing the case for the Bayesian method with little more than basic algebra, the authors show that it avoids the difficulties of the classical system. The book also refutes the major criticisms leveled against Bayesian logic, especially that it is too subjective. This newly updated edition of this classic textbook is also suitable for college courses.

�ber die Autorin bzw. den Autor

Charlotte y Peter Fiell son dos autoridades en historia, teor�a y cr�tica del dise�o y han escrito m�s de sesenta libros sobre la materia, muchos de los cuales se han convertido en �xitos de ventas. Tambi�n han impartido conferencias y cursos como profesores invitados, han comisariado exposiciones y asesorado a fabricantes, museos, salas de subastas y grandes coleccionistas privados de todo el mundo. Los Fiell han escrito numerosos libros para TASCHEN, entre los que se incluyen 1000 Chairs, Dise�o del siglo XX, El dise�o industrial de la A a la Z, Scandinavian Design y Dise�o del siglo XXI.

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