Isbn: 9780521443685 - behavioral decision theory: a new approach (16 Ergebnisse)

Zustand: Good. This is an ex-library book and may have the usual library/used-book markings inside.This book has hardback covers. Clean from markings. In good all round condition. Dust jacket in good condition. Please note the Image in this listing is a stock photo and may not match the covers of the actual item,750grams, ISBN:9780521443685.…

Zustand: Good. This is an ex-library book and may have the usual library/used-book markings inside.This book has hardback covers. Clean from markings. In good all round condition. Dust jacket in good condition. Please note the Image in this listing is a stock photo and may not match the covers of the actual item,750grams, ISBN:9780521443685.…

Hard Cover. Zustand: Very Good. Zustand des Schutzumschlags: Very Good. 314 pages. Shadow of sticker on front of dust jacket. Books listed here are not stored at the shop. Please contact us if you want to pick up a book from Newtown.

Zustand: Very Good.

Zustand: New.

Zustand: New. In English.

Zustand: New. pp. 334.

Hardcover. Zustand: Brand New. 1st edition. 334 pages. 9.50x6.50x0.75 inches. In Stock.

Buch. Zustand: Neu. Druck auf Anfrage Neuware - Printed after ordering - This book discusses the well known fallacies of behavioural decision theory. It shows that while an investigator is studying a well-known fallacy, he or she may introduce, without realizing it, one of the simple biases that are found in quantifying judgements. The work covers such fallacies as the apparent overconfidence that people show when they judge the probability of correctness of their answers to two-choice general knowledge questions using a one-sided rating scale; the apparent overconfidence in setting uncertainty bounds on unknown quantities when using the fractile method; the interactions between hindsight and memory; the belief that small samples are as reliable and as representative as large samples;; the regression fallacy in prediction; the availability and simulation fallacies; the anchoring and adjustment biases; and bias by frames. The aim of this book is to help readers to learn about the fallacies and thus to avoid them. As such, it will be useful reading for students and researchers in probability theory, statistics and psychology.…

Zustand: New. The book describes the errors that people commonly make in dealing with probabilities. Num Pages: 336 pages, 36 b/w illus. 46 tables. BIC Classification: JMA; JMR; PBT. Category: (P) Professional & Vocational. Dimension: 237 x 160 x 19. Weight in Grams: 64. . 1994. hardcover. . . . . Books ship from the US and Ireland. …

Hardcover. Zustand: Like New. LIKE NEW. SHIPS FROM MULTIPLE LOCATIONS. book.

Zustand: New. The book describes the errors that people commonly make in dealing with probabilities. Num Pages: 336 pages, 36 b/w illus. 46 tables. BIC Classification: JMA; JMR; PBT. Category: (P) Professional & Vocational. Dimension: 237 x 160 x 19. Weight in Grams: 64. . 1994. hardcover. . . . .

Hardcover. Zustand: new. Hardcover. This book discusses the well-known fallacies of behavioral decision theory. It shows that while an investigator is studying a fallacy, he or she may introduce without realizing it, one of the simple biases that are found in quantifying judgments. The work covers such fallacies as the apparent overconfidence that people show when they judge the probability of correctness of their answers to two-choice general knowledge questions using a one-sided rating scale; the apparent overconfidence in setting uncertainty bounds on unknown quantities when using the fractile method; the interactions between hindsight and memory; the belief that small samples are as reliable and as representative as are large samples; the conjunction fallacy for Linda and Bill; the causal conjunction fallacy; the regression fallacy in prediction; the neglect of the base rate in the Cab problem, in predicting professions, and in the Medical Diagnosis problem; the availability and simulation fallacies; the anchoring and adjustment biases; Prospect theory; and bias by frames. The aim of this book is to help readers to learn about the fallacies and to avoid them. The book describes the errors that people commonly make in dealing with probabilities. They include both the errors that are now well recognised like overconfidence, and the errors that investigators may themselves introduce without realising it. This item is printed on demand. Shipping may be from our UK warehouse or from our Australian or US warehouses, depending on stock availability.…

Zustand: New. Dieser Artikel ist ein Print on Demand Artikel und wird nach Ihrer Bestellung fuer Sie gedruckt. The book describes the errors that people commonly make in dealing with probabilities. They include both the errors that are now well recognised like overconfidence, and the errors that investigators may themselves introduce without realising it.In.…

Zustand: New. Print on Demand pp. 334.

Zustand: New. PRINT ON DEMAND pp. 334 36 Line Diagrams.