ISBN: 9781107112087 - trusting judgements: how to get the best out of experts (13 Ergebnisse)

Zustand: New.

Zustand: New. Even experienced experts can be biased and overconfident. This book explains how to ensure experts provide reliable scientific advice. Num Pages: 214 pages, 56 b/w illus. 4 tables. BIC Classification: JPH; KJM; PDK. Category: (G) General (US: Trade); (P) Professional & Vocational. Dimension: 228 x 152 x 13. Weight in Grams: 460. . 2015. Hardback. . . . . …

Zustand: New. In English.

Zustand: New. pp. 210.

Zustand: New. Even experienced experts can be biased and overconfident. This book explains how to ensure experts provide reliable scientific advice. Num Pages: 214 pages, 56 b/w illus. 4 tables. BIC Classification: JPH; KJM; PDK. Category: (G) General (US: Trade); (P) Professional & Vocational. Dimension: 228 x 152 x 13. Weight in Grams: 460. . 2015. Hardback. . . . . Books ship from the US and Ireland. …

Hardcover. Zustand: Brand New. 203 pages. 9.75x6.50x0.25 inches. In Stock.

Buch. Zustand: Neu. Druck auf Anfrage Neuware - Printed after ordering - Policy- and decision-makers in government and industry constantly face important decisions without full knowledge of all the facts. They rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. There are unprecedented opportunities for experts to influence decisions. Yet even the most experienced can be over-confident and error-prone, and the hidden risk is that scientists and other experts can over-reach, often with good intentions, placing more weight on the evidence they provide than is warranted. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice, explains why group judgements outperform individual estimates, and provides an accessible and up-to-date guide to the science of expert judgement. Finally, and importantly, it outlines a simple, practical framework that will help policy- and decision-makers to ensure that the advice that they receive is relatively reliable and accurate, thus substantially improving the quality of information on which critical decisions are made.…

Hardback. Zustand: New. This item is printed on demand. New copy - Usually dispatched within 5-9 working days.

Zustand: New. Print on Demand pp. 210.

Hardcover. Zustand: new. Hardcover. Policy- and decision-makers in government and industry constantly face important decisions without full knowledge of all the facts. They rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. There are unprecedented opportunities for experts to influence decisions. Yet even the most experienced can be over-confident and error-prone, and the hidden risk is that scientists and other experts can over-reach, often with good intentions, placing more weight on the evidence they provide than is warranted. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice, explains why group judgements outperform individual estimates, and provides an accessible and up-to-date guide to the science of expert judgement. Finally, and importantly, it outlines a simple, practical framework that will help policy- and decision-makers to ensure that the advice that they receive is relatively reliable and accurate, thus substantially improving the quality of information on which critical decisions are made. Policy- and decision-makers in government and industry rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. Yet even the best experts can be over-confident and error-prone. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice, and how to ensure expert advice is relatively reliable and accurate. This item is printed on demand. Shipping may be from our UK warehouse or from our Australian or US warehouses, depending on stock availability.…

Zustand: New. Dieser Artikel ist ein Print on Demand Artikel und wird nach Ihrer Bestellung fuer Sie gedruckt. Policy- and decision-makers in government and industry rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. Yet even the best experts can be over-confident and error-prone. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice..…

Zustand: New. PRINT ON DEMAND pp. 210.

Buch. Zustand: Neu. Trusting Judgements | Mark A. Burgman | Buch | Gebunden | Englisch | 2016 | Cambridge University Press | EAN 9781107112087 | Verantwortliche Person für die EU: Libri GmbH, Europaallee 1, 36244 Bad Hersfeld, gpsr[at]libri[dot]de | Anbieter: preigu Print on Demand.