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Verlag: Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Paperback. Zustand: Very Good. The book has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged.
Verlag: Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Paperback. Zustand: Good. The book has been read but remains in clean condition. All pages are intact and the cover is intact. Some minor wear to the spine.
Verlag: Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Zustand: Good. Item in good condition. Textbooks may not include supplemental items i.e. CDs, access codes etc.
Verlag: Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Zustand: Very Good. 1713429692. 4/18/2024 8:41:32 AM.
Verlag: Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Verlag: Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Zustand: Good. Buy with confidence! Book is in good condition with minor wear to the pages, binding, and minor marks within.
Verlag: Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Zustand: Good. Most items will be dispatched the same or the next working day.
Verlag: Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Zustand: As New. Unread book in perfect condition.
Verlag: Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Zustand: New.
Verlag: Cornerstone, London, 2016
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Paperback. Zustand: new. Paperback. A ground-breaking new work on improving our ability to predict future events.The international bestseller'A manual for thinking clearly in an uncertain world. Read it.' Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow_________________________What if we could improve our ability to predict the future?Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it.In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Tetlock's latest project - an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions - has since shown that there are, however, some people with real, demonstrable foresight. These are ordinary people, from former ballroom dancers to retired computer programmers, who have an extraordinary ability to predict the future with a degree of accuracy 60% greater than average. They are superforecasters.In Superforecasting, Tetlock and his co-author Dan Gardner offer a fascinating insight into what we can learn from this elite group. They show the methods used by these superforecasters which enable them to outperform even professional intelligence analysts with access to classified data. And they offer practical advice on how we can all use these methods for our own benefit - whether in business, in international affairs, or in everyday life._________________________'The techniques and habits of mind set out in this book are a gift to anyone who has to think about what the future might bring. In other words, to everyone.' Economist'A terrific piece of work that deserves to be widely read . . . Highly recommended.' Independent'The best thing I have read on predictions . . . Superforecasting is an indispensable guide to this indispensable activity.' The Times Tetlock's latest project an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions has since shown that there are, however, some people with real, demonstrable foresight. Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability.
Verlag: Random House 2016-04-07, London, 2016
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
Anbieter: Blackwell's, London, Vereinigtes Königreich
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paperback. Zustand: New. Language: ENG.
Verlag: Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Ausreichend/Acceptable: Exemplar mit vollständigem Text und sämtlichen Abbildungen oder Karten. Schmutztitel oder Vorsatz können fehlen. Einband bzw. Schutzumschlag weisen unter Umständen starke Gebrauchsspuren auf. / Describes a book or dust jacket that has the complete text pages (including those with maps or plates) but may lack endpapers, half-title, etc. (which must be noted). Binding, dust jacket (if any), etc may also be worn.
Verlag: Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Gut/Very good: Buch bzw. Schutzumschlag mit wenigen Gebrauchsspuren an Einband, Schutzumschlag oder Seiten. / Describes a book or dust jacket that does show some signs of wear on either the binding, dust jacket or pages.
Verlag: Random House Books, 1773
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Soft Cover. Zustand: new.
Verlag: Random House Books, 2016
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Paperback. Zustand: New. BRAND NEW ** SUPER FAST SHIPPING FROM UK WAREHOUSE ** 30 DAY MONEY BACK GUARANTEE.
Verlag: Random House Books, 2016
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Paperback. Zustand: Brand New. 352 pages. 7.80x5.08x0.87 inches. In Stock.
Verlag: Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Zustand: New. In.
Verlag: Cornerstone, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Paperback / softback. Zustand: New. New copy - Usually dispatched within 4 working days. NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLERWINNER OF THE CMI MANAGEMENT FUTURES BOOK OF THE YEAR AWARD'A manual for thinking clearly in an uncertain world. These are ordinary people, from former ballroom dancers to retired computer programmers, who have an extraordinary ability to predict the future with a degree of accuracy 60% greater than average.
Verlag: Cornerstone, 2016
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Zustand: New. What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? This title shows that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Num Pages: 352 pages. BIC Classification: JFFR; JM. Category: (P) Professional & Vocational; (U) Tertiary Education (US: College). Dimension: 131 x 197 x 23. Weight in Grams: 248. . 2016. Paperback. . . . .
Verlag: Cornerstone, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
Anbieter: Kennys Bookstore, Olney, MD, USA
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Zustand: New. What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? This title shows that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Num Pages: 352 pages. BIC Classification: JFFR; JM. Category: (P) Professional & Vocational; (U) Tertiary Education (US: College). Dimension: 131 x 197 x 23. Weight in Grams: 248. . 2016. Paperback. . . . . Books ship from the US and Ireland.
Verlag: Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
Anbieter: GreatBookPricesUK, Castle Donington, DERBY, Vereinigtes Königreich
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Zustand: New.
Verlag: Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Zustand: As New. Unread book in perfect condition.
Verlag: Random House UK Ltd Apr 2016, 2016
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
Anbieter: BuchWeltWeit Ludwig Meier e.K., Bergisch Gladbach, Deutschland
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Taschenbuch. Zustand: Neu. Neuware -The international bestseller'A manual for thinking clearly in an uncertain world. Read it.' Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow_________________________What if we could improve our ability to predict the future Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it.In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Tetlock's latest project - an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions - has since shown that there are, however, some people with real, demonstrable foresight. These are ordinary people, from former ballroom dancers to retired computer programmers, who have an extraordinary ability to predict the future with a degree of accuracy 60% greater than average. They are superforecasters.In Superforecasting, Tetlock and his co-author Dan Gardner offer a fascinating insight into what we can learn from this elite group. They show the methods used by these superforecasters which enable them to outperform even professional intelligence analysts with access to classified data. And they offer practical advice on how we can all use these methods for our own benefit - whether in business, in international affairs, or in everyday life._________________________'The techniques and habits of mind set out in this book are a gift to anyone who has to think about what the future might bring. In other words, to everyone.' Economist'A terrific piece of work that deserves to be widely read . . . Highly recommended.' Independent'The best thing I have read on predictions . . . Superforecasting is an indispensable guide to this indispensable activity.' The Times 340 pp. Englisch.
Verlag: Random House UK Ltd Apr 2016, 2016
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
Anbieter: Rheinberg-Buch Andreas Meier eK, Bergisch Gladbach, Deutschland
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Taschenbuch. Zustand: Neu. Neuware -The international bestseller'A manual for thinking clearly in an uncertain world. Read it.' Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow_________________________What if we could improve our ability to predict the future Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it.In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Tetlock's latest project - an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions - has since shown that there are, however, some people with real, demonstrable foresight. These are ordinary people, from former ballroom dancers to retired computer programmers, who have an extraordinary ability to predict the future with a degree of accuracy 60% greater than average. They are superforecasters.In Superforecasting, Tetlock and his co-author Dan Gardner offer a fascinating insight into what we can learn from this elite group. They show the methods used by these superforecasters which enable them to outperform even professional intelligence analysts with access to classified data. And they offer practical advice on how we can all use these methods for our own benefit - whether in business, in international affairs, or in everyday life._________________________'The techniques and habits of mind set out in this book are a gift to anyone who has to think about what the future might bring. In other words, to everyone.' Economist'A terrific piece of work that deserves to be widely read . . . Highly recommended.' Independent'The best thing I have read on predictions . . . Superforecasting is an indispensable guide to this indispensable activity.' The Times 340 pp. Englisch.
Verlag: Random House UK Ltd Apr 2016, 2016
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
Anbieter: Wegmann1855, Zwiesel, Deutschland
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Taschenbuch. Zustand: Neu. Neuware -Philip Tetlock is Leonore Annenberg University Professor of Psychology at the University of Pennsylvania. He is the author of several books on politics and psychology, including Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics and the award-winning Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It How Can We Know.
Verlag: Random House, 2016
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
Anbieter: PBShop.store UK, Fairford, GLOS, Vereinigtes Königreich
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PAP. Zustand: New. New Book. Shipped from UK. Established seller since 2000.
Verlag: Random House UK Ltd Apr 2016, 2016
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
Anbieter: Smartbuy, Einbeck, Deutschland
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Taschenbuch. Zustand: Neu. Neuware - The international bestseller'A manual for thinking clearly in an uncertain world. Read it.' Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow_________________________What if we could improve our ability to predict the future Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it.In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Tetlock's latest project - an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions - has since shown that there are, however, some people with real, demonstrable foresight. These are ordinary people, from former ballroom dancers to retired computer programmers, who have an extraordinary ability to predict the future with a degree of accuracy 60% greater than average. They are superforecasters.In Superforecasting, Tetlock and his co-author Dan Gardner offer a fascinating insight into what we can learn from this elite group. They show the methods used by these superforecasters which enable them to outperform even professional intelligence analysts with access to classified data. And they offer practical advice on how we can all use these methods for our own benefit - whether in business, in international affairs, or in everyday life._________________________'The techniques and habits of mind set out in this book are a gift to anyone who has to think about what the future might bring. In other words, to everyone.' Economist'A terrific piece of work that deserves to be widely read . . . Highly recommended.' Independent'The best thing I have read on predictions . . . Superforecasting is an indispensable guide to this indispensable activity.' The Times 340 pp. Englisch.
Verlag: Cornerstone, London, 2016
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
Anbieter: CitiRetail, Stevenage, Vereinigtes Königreich
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Paperback. Zustand: new. Paperback. A ground-breaking new work on improving our ability to predict future events.The international bestseller'A manual for thinking clearly in an uncertain world. Read it.' Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow_________________________What if we could improve our ability to predict the future?Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it.In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Tetlock's latest project - an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions - has since shown that there are, however, some people with real, demonstrable foresight. These are ordinary people, from former ballroom dancers to retired computer programmers, who have an extraordinary ability to predict the future with a degree of accuracy 60% greater than average. They are superforecasters.In Superforecasting, Tetlock and his co-author Dan Gardner offer a fascinating insight into what we can learn from this elite group. They show the methods used by these superforecasters which enable them to outperform even professional intelligence analysts with access to classified data. And they offer practical advice on how we can all use these methods for our own benefit - whether in business, in international affairs, or in everyday life._________________________'The techniques and habits of mind set out in this book are a gift to anyone who has to think about what the future might bring. In other words, to everyone.' Economist'A terrific piece of work that deserves to be widely read . . . Highly recommended.' Independent'The best thing I have read on predictions . . . Superforecasting is an indispensable guide to this indispensable activity.' The Times Tetlock's latest project an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions has since shown that there are, however, some people with real, demonstrable foresight. Shipping may be from our UK warehouse or from our Australian or US warehouses, depending on stock availability.
Verlag: Cornerstone, London, 2016
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
Anbieter: AussieBookSeller, Truganina, VIC, Australien
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Paperback. Zustand: new. Paperback. A ground-breaking new work on improving our ability to predict future events.The international bestseller'A manual for thinking clearly in an uncertain world. Read it.' Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow_________________________What if we could improve our ability to predict the future?Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it.In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Tetlock's latest project - an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions - has since shown that there are, however, some people with real, demonstrable foresight. These are ordinary people, from former ballroom dancers to retired computer programmers, who have an extraordinary ability to predict the future with a degree of accuracy 60% greater than average. They are superforecasters.In Superforecasting, Tetlock and his co-author Dan Gardner offer a fascinating insight into what we can learn from this elite group. They show the methods used by these superforecasters which enable them to outperform even professional intelligence analysts with access to classified data. And they offer practical advice on how we can all use these methods for our own benefit - whether in business, in international affairs, or in everyday life._________________________'The techniques and habits of mind set out in this book are a gift to anyone who has to think about what the future might bring. In other words, to everyone.' Economist'A terrific piece of work that deserves to be widely read . . . Highly recommended.' Independent'The best thing I have read on predictions . . . Superforecasting is an indispensable guide to this indispensable activity.' The Times Tetlock's latest project an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions has since shown that there are, however, some people with real, demonstrable foresight. Shipping may be from our Sydney, NSW warehouse or from our UK or US warehouse, depending on stock availability.
Verlag: Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158ISBN 13: 9781847947154
Anbieter: Speedyhen, London, Vereinigtes Königreich
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Zustand: NEW.