general learning publishing (2 Ergebnisse)

Hardcover. Zustand: Fair. No Jacket. Readable copy. Pages may have considerable notes/highlighting. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

Trade Paperback. Zustand: Very Good. First Edition 1st Printing. Light Creasing on Front, Rear Covers; Front, Rear Covers Lightly Chipped; Edges Lightly Soiled; Moderate Fading Due to Sun Exposure. SYNOPSIS: How are we affected by being not sure of what we think, say or do? How, in other words, are our expectations, choices, decisions and actions influenced y the degree of uncertainty we perceive? What language do we employ to convey this state of mind, and how precise and effective is it? First examining the "perception" of probability - the method of understanding the world by conjecture - John Cohen draws us into his discussion of the roles played by independence and chance in subjective sampling and inference. Evidence is presented for a kind of law of sequential choice, which might apply to any situation, from politics to mountaineering, in which it is necessary to predict or guess, in advance, the outcome at several stages. In the later chapters of Psychological Probability, the author discusses the importance of uncertainty and chance in gambling, medicine, crime, art and love. Why do people become compulsive gamblers? How much does our appreciation of art and drama depend on the unexpected and improbable? Although the author depends mainly on experiment to answer these many intriguing questions, he also draws from literary and other sources when they appear relevant, showing how the insight of gifted writers is in accord with psychological fact and theory. Written with originality and humor, Psychological Probability provides a starting place for a psychology which is, as Cohen says, "not only deeply rooted in the biological sciences and mathematically sound, but also has a close affinity to social studies and the humanities." Professor John Cohen is head of the Department of Psychology at the University of Manchester. He is a Fellow and form member of the Council of the British Psychological Society and of the World Academy of Arts and Science, foreign member of the Centre de Recherches de Psychologie Comparative in Paris, editor of Readings in Psychology, and British editor of Acta Psychologica. His publications include a number of books on individual and group psychology and over two hundred papers in medical, scientific, and other learned journals. Size: 8vo - over 7¾" - 9¾" tall.