Isbn: 9780062820730 - the hot hand: the mystery and science of streaks – a wsj reporter's entertaining investigation into psychology and randomness (32 Ergebnisse)

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Paperback. Zustand: Good. How can you maximize success--and limit failure? Wall Street Journal reporter Ben Cohen brilliantly investigates the mystery and science of streaks, from basketball to business. "A feast for anyone interested in the secrets of excellence." --Andre Agassi For decades, statisticians, social scientists, psychologists, and economists (among them Nobel Prize winners) have spent massive amounts of precious time thinking about whether streaks actually exist. After all, a substantial number of decisions that we make in our everyday lives are quietly rooted in this one question: If something happened before, will it happen again? Is there such a thing as being in the zone? Can someone have a "hot hand"? Or is it simply a case of seeing patterns in randomness? Or, if streaks are possible, where can they be found? In The Hot Hand, Wall Street Journal reporter Ben Cohen offers an unfailingly entertaining and provocative investigation into these questions. He begins with how a $35,000 fine and a wild night in New York revived a debate about the existence of streaks that was several generations in the making. We learn how the ability to recognize and then bet against streaks turned a business school dropout named David Booth into a billionaire, and how the subconscious nature of streak-related bias can make the difference between life and death for asylum seekers. We see how previously unrecognized streaks hidden amidst archival data helped solve one of the most haunting mysteries of the twentieth century, the disappearance of Raoul Wallenberg. Cohen also exposes how streak-related incentives can be manipulated, from the five-syllable word that helped break arcade profit records to an arc of black paint that allowed Stephen Curry to transform from future junior high coach into the greatest three-point shooter in NBA history. Crucially, Cohen also explores why false recognition of nonexistent streaks can have cataclysmic results, particularly if you are a sugar beet farmer or the sort of gambler who likes to switch to black on the ninth spin of the roulette wheel.…

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Paperback. Zustand: new. Paperback. How can you maximize success--and limit failure? Wall Street Journal reporter Ben Cohen brilliantly investigates the mystery and science of streaks, from basketball to business. "A feast for anyone interested in the secrets of excellence." --Andre AgassiFor decades, statisticians, social scientists, psychologists, and economists (among them Nobel Prize winners) have spent massive amounts of precious time thinking about whether streaks actually exist. After all, a substantial number of decisions that we make in our everyday lives are quietly rooted in this one question: If something happened before, will it happen again? Is there such a thing as being in the zone? Can someone have a "hot hand"? Or is it simply a case of seeing patterns in randomness? Or, if streaks are possible, where can they be found?In The Hot Hand, Wall Street Journal reporter Ben Cohen offers an unfailingly entertaining and provocative investigation into these questions. He begins with how a $35,000 fine and a wild night in New York revived a debate about the existence of streaks that was several generations in the making. We learn how the ability to recognize and then bet against streaks turned a business school dropout named David Booth into a billionaire, and how the subconscious nature of streak-related bias can make the difference between life and death for asylum seekers. We see how previously unrecognized streaks hidden amidst archival data helped solve one of the most haunting mysteries of the twentieth century, the disappearance of Raoul Wallenberg. Cohen also exposes how streak-related incentives can be manipulated, from the five-syllable word that helped break arcade profit records to an arc of black paint that allowed Stephen Curry to transform from future junior high coach into the greatest three-point shooter in NBA history. Crucially, Cohen also explores why false recognition of nonexistent streaks can have cataclysmic results, particularly if you are a sugar beet farmer or the sort of gambler who likes to switch to black on the ninth spin of the roulette wheel. "For fans of Charles Duhigg, Philip Tetlock and Nate Silver, a brilliant and buoyant investigation into the existence (or not) of streaks, from a rising star at the Wall Street Journal"-- Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability.…

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Taschenbuch. Zustand: Neu. Neuware - How can youmaximize successand limit failure Wall Street JournalreporterBen Cohenbrilliantly investigates the mystery and science of streaks, from basketball to business.'A feastfor anyone interested in the secrets of excellence.'Andre AgassiFor decades, statisticians,social scientists, psychologists, and economists (among them Nobel Prizewinners) have spent massive amounts of precious time thinking about whetherstreaks actually exist. After all, a substantial number of decisions that wemake in our everyday lives are quietly rooted in this one question: Ifsomething happened before, will it happen again Is there such a thing as beingin the zone Can someone have a "hot hand" Or is it simply a case of seeingpatterns in randomness Or, if streaks are possible, where can they be found In The Hot Hand, Wall StreetJournal reporter Ben Cohen offers an unfailingly entertaining andprovocative investigation into these questions. He begins with how a $35,000fine and a wild night in New York revived a debate about the existence ofstreaks that was several generations in the making. We learn how the ability torecognize and then bet against streaks turned a business school dropout namedDavid Booth into a billionaire, and how the subconscious nature ofstreak-related bias can make the difference between life and death for asylumseekers. We see how previously unrecognized streaks hidden amidst archival datahelped solve one of the most haunting mysteries of the twentieth century, thedisappearance of Raoul Wallenberg. Cohen also exposes how streak-relatedincentives can be manipulated, from the five-syllable word that helped breakarcade profit records to an arc of black paint that allowed Stephen Curry totransform from future junior high coach into the greatest three-point shooterin NBA history. Crucially, Cohen also explores why false recognition ofnonexistent streaks can have cataclysmic results, particularly if you are asugar beet farmer or the sort of gambler who likes to switch to black on theninth spin of the roulette wheel. …

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